INTERVIEW
Zen, Candlesticks, And The Trading Triad
Steve Nison
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan
Want to know something about candlestick charting? Steve Nison can
tell you. He was the first to bring Japanese candlestick charting methods
to Western trading nearly 20 years ago. He is a leading authority on candlesticks,
the author of two foundational books on the subject, Japanese Candlestick
Charting Techniques and Beyond Candlesticks, and gives seminars
on the subject. Further, Nison was one of the first to be awarded the designation
of Chartered Market Technician (CMT) from the Market Technicians Association
(MTA); in addition, he is president of CandleCharts.com, an educational
and advisory website. Can candlestick patterns be useful to traders accustomed
to Western-style technical analysis? It would seem so, considering they
have become a staple for Western traders in the past two decades. STOCKS
& COMMODITIES Editor Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan called Nison to discuss
that subject on January 24, 2003.
Any form of technical analysis can be used on candle charts... you're getting all your bar chart signals, plus all the candle chart
signals.
What got you interested in candlestick charting?
Back in the mid-1980s, I was working at a brokerage firm in New York,
and there was a native Japanese broker there. She had clients in Japan.
She would give stock recommendations on Nikkei stocks, and she would have
chart books airmailed to her from Japan -- and all the chartbooks contained
candlestick charts. Once I was in her office talking with her, and she
was looking at one of these chartbooks, and that piqued my curiosity.
And that curiosity led you to learn more about them?
Right. She explained them to me a little, and then by coincidence
I ran into an American who was a Japanese translator, and was going to
Japan. I asked him to buy every book he could on candlesticks. He did,
and for the next year or so, he translated them for me. In addition, I
got in contact with the Nippon Technical Analysts Association, and they
were very helpful.
Candlesticks are basically a visual technique. There are a great
many patterns you can see. How do you determine which patterns are most
reliable, as opposed to those that occur frequently?
The Japanese have a nice expression about that. They say that the personality
of a stock or a market is like a person's face; no two are alike. With
that in mind, some patterns are going to work better in certain markets
than in others. Generally, though, one of the things I emphasize in my
educational material is that the more signals confirm a support or resistance
level, the more likely there will be a reversal.
Really? What's an example?
Suppose there's a candlestick signal, say a bullish engulfing pattern,
which is when a white real body wraps around a black real body at a major
support area. I would be much more likely to be aggressive on buying that
particular market than I would be if a bullish engulfing pattern was not
confirming support. One of the questions I'm frequently asked at my seminars
is, "Which are the more powerful patterns?" I always say, "Show
me the chart when you see a pattern," because your reaction to the
pattern itself depends on the overall market environment of where that
pattern forms.
...Continued in the April 2003 issue of Technical Analysis of STOCKS
& COMMODITIES
Excerpted from an article originally published in the April 2003
issue of Technical Analysis of STOCKS & COMMODITIES magazine. All rights
reserved. © Copyright 2003, Technical Analysis, Inc.
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